Apparently There’s a Taliban Problem in Quetta

Now this is interesting:

ISLAMABAD, Pakistan — As American troops move deeper into southern Afghanistan to fight Taliban insurgents, U.S. officials are expressing new concerns about the role of fugitive Taliban leader Mohammad Omar and his council of lieutenants, who reportedly plan and launch cross-border strikes from safe havens around the southwestern Pakistani city of Quetta.

But U.S. officials acknowledge they know relatively little about the remote and arid Pakistani border region, have no capacity to strike there, and have few windows into the turbulent mix of Pashtun tribal and religious politics that has turned the area into a sanctuary for the Taliban leaders, who are known collectively as the Quetta Shura.

Pakistani officials, in turn, have been accused of allowing the Taliban movement to regroup in the Quetta area, viewing it as a strategic asset rather than a domestic threat, while the army has been heavily focused on curbing violent Islamist extremists in the northwest border region hundreds of miles away.

As a result, Pakistani and foreign analysts here said, Quetta, the capital of Baluchistan province, has suddenly emerged as an urgent but elusive new target as Washington grapples with the Taliban’s rapidly spreading arc of influence and terror across Afghanistan.

According to Anne W. Patterson, the U.S. Ambassador to Pakistan, “In the past, we focused on al-Qaeda because they were a threat to us. The Quetta Shura mattered less to us because we had no troops in the region… Now our troops are there on the other side of the border, and the Quetta Shura is high on Washington’s list.”

The Taliban Quetta shura has always been a recognized problem. Well, maybe not always, since that’s a pretty long time. But it’s certainly been recognized as a significant part – maybe the most significant part – of the Taliban command and control structure for a good long while.

Bernard Finel is right about this:  it’s about new priorities, not new facts. It’s about McChrystal going for the Taliban throat. The problem with Quetta is that it isn’t in Afghanistan; and with the NATO mission in Afghanistan, is that its remit stops at the Durand Line, regardless of how significant a problem cross-border sanctuaries might be. So, if we’re getting serious about this, we might have something more to look forward to than just drone strikes; think more along the lines of  the B-52 strikes into Laos and Cambodia during the Vietnam War.

UPDATE: I exaggerate slightly… but I do wonder what getting serious about something like Quetta would involve. There’s room, I think, for serious comparison of the costs and consequences of cross-border escalation.

Omnivore 29/09/09

Al Qaeda’s New Charm Offensive in Europe, Bruce Riedel, Up Front/Brookings Institution

An Absolutely Horrifying Interview, Bernard Finel, Bernardfinel.com

The Last Mission, George Packer, New Yorker

Andrew Bacevich and the Cold War Analogy, Peter Feaver, Shadow Government/Foreign Policy

On Hizballah’s Strategy, Andrew Exum, Abu Muqawama

The Wrong Question, Caroline Wadhams, AfPak Channel/Foreign Policy

Omnivore 25/09/09

UK Strategy & Defence Policy: Have Your Say, David Betz, Kings of War

The Army Wants Your Comments, Robert Haddick, Small Wars Journal

A Real Plot and Real CT, Bernard Finel, BernardFinel.com

Crossfire Forces Wardak Farmers Off Land, Habiburahman Ibrahimi, Afghan Recovery Report/IWPR

Yet Another “Bribe The Tribes” Pundit, Joshua Foust, Registan.net

Storm Warnings on the Petraeus-ometer, Thomas Ricks, Best Defense/Foreign Policy

Legitimacy and the Afghan Army, Steve Coll, Think Tank/The New Yorker

White House Seeks To Avoid Another Vietnam, Tim Reid, The Times

Masters of Chaos Thrive on Bombs and Charity, James Hider, The Times

The Front Line in Somalia, Jeffrey Gettleman, At War/New York Times

Omnivore 24/09/09

Tie Troops To Progress on Afghanistan’s Corruption, Brookings Institute

Should the United States Withdraw From Afghanistan? Cato Institute

A “Better War” in Afghanistan, Center for a New American Security

Shape, Clear, Hold and Build: “Uncertain Lessons of the Afghan and Iraq Wars”, Centre for Security & Int’l Studies

Pakistani Capabilities for a Counterinsurgency Campaign, New America Foundation

President Asif Ali Zardari Address, International Institute for Strategic Studies

The Will To Intervene (W2I) Report, Montreal Institute For Genocide & Human Rights Studies

The Congolese Elite and the Fragmented City, LSE Crisis States Research Center

Regional Arrangements and Security Challenges, LSE Crisis States Research Center

Discussion on Drug Syndicates, Institute For Security Studies

Omnivore 23/09/09

The Decline of the Defense Intellectual Base, Bernard Finel, Bernardfinel.com

Insurgency, Swiss Made, Thomas Rid, Kings of War

Fending Off Failure in Afghanistan, Editors, Room For Debate/New York Times

Afghan Recovery Report: Project Highlights, Jean Mackenzie, Institute for War & Peace Reporting

The Ultimate AfPak Reading List, Peter Bergen, The AfPak Channel

Challenges From Deployment, Joshua Foust, Registan.net

Weary Troops Are Fighting a Losing Battle, Not a Lost Cause, Anthony Lloyd, The Times

Military Cross Hero Killed in Afghanistan, Michael Evens, The Times

Riot Police Clear Calais Camp, Angelique Chrisafis & Alan Travis, Guardian

Brown Move To Cut Nuclear Subs, BBC News