No kidding. Writing in The New Republic, Kenneth M. Pollack of the Brookings Institution notes that in the wake of the troop surge, there’s good news and there’s bad news. The good news: for all of Iraq’s on-going problems, its current state of affairs "is entirely in keeping with historical norms." On the not-so-good news front, he writes that "while the pattern we have seen in Iraq is fully consistent with success, it also remains fully consistent with failure." Woops. Kenneth M. Pollack, "Apres-Surge: The Next Iraq Debates," The New Republic (31 Dec 2007).